Jamaica Climate
Enhancing farming through weather and climate information!

  

Jamaica Fruits

Climate Branch / Meteorological Service

 

NOVEMBER 2016 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

 

Brief Summary:   Through the period of September to November the computer models are indicating above normal in rainfall amount across most areas with warmer than normal temperatures. Over the past two months forecast from the models has grown in confidence as environmental and local factors become favourable.

The forecast for September to November are indicating an increase in rainfall amounts as environmental conditions become more favourable towards the later part of the hurricane season. Therefore, the predictions for the next three months are for above normal rainfall with no drought concern, especially over central and western parishes.

 
To view our 3D drought maps use the following browsers with 3D plugin:
Google Chrome or Mozilla Firefox 
  
  
November 2016 drought map 
  
 
 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

 

Categories

SPI Values 

 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)

 0.0 to -0.4 

Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7 

Moderate Drought

(20%tile) 

-0.8 to -1.2 

Severe Drought

(10%tile) 

-1.3 to -1.5 

Extreme Drought

(5%tile) 

-1.6 to -1.9 

Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less 

Categories

SPI Values 

Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)

 0.0 to 0.4 

Abnormally Wetness (70%tile)

0.5 to 0.7 

Moderate Wetness

(80%tile) 

0.8 to 1.2 

Severe Wetness

(90%tile) 

1.3 to 1.5 

Extreme Wetness

(95%tile) 

1.6 to 1.9 

Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more 

Near normal drying and Abnormally Dry …are used for areas showing dryness but not yet in drought

Near normal wetness and Abnormally wetness …are used for areas recovering from drought.