Jamaica Climate
Enhancing farming through weather and climate information!

  

Jamaica Fruits

Climate Branch / Meteorological Service

 

JUNE 2016 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

 

Brief Summary:  Through the period April to June the models continue to indicate an increase in the forecasted rainfall amount across most areas. As we approach the secondary rainfall season, the expected increase in rainfall activities is likely to ease most of the current dry patches affecting sections of most southern parishes.   

The forecast is for the rains to start late April into May, and therefore the timeliness of these rains will ease the water stress currently affecting key agricultural areas, especially over southern parishes. Due to the variability in the start date of the rains we would advise that plans be made to reduce any possible impacts that could result from a delay in the start of the rains.

 
To view our Google Earth 3D drought maps use the following link listed below to download our image files:  
 
*Google Earth need to be install on your PC* 
 
 
  Jamaica June 2016 drought map 
 
 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

 

Categories

SPI Values 

 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)

 0.0 to -0.4 

Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7 

Moderate Drought

(20%tile) 

-0.8 to -1.2 

Severe Drought

(10%tile) 

-1.3 to -1.5 

Extreme Drought

(5%tile) 

-1.6 to -1.9 

Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less 

Categories

SPI Values 

Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)

 0.0 to 0.4 

Abnormally Wetness (70%tile)

0.5 to 0.7 

Moderate Wetness

(80%tile) 

0.8 to 1.2 

Severe Wetness

(90%tile) 

1.3 to 1.5 

Extreme Wetness

(95%tile) 

1.6 to 1.9 

Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more 

Near normal drying and Abnormally Dry …are used for areas showing dryness but not yet in drought

Near normal wetness and Abnormally wetness …are used for areas recovering from drought.