May Drought Forecast Map

MAY 2017 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

Brief Summary:  The rainfall outlook for March to May 2017 indicates that most stations examined will likely receive near normal to below normal rainfall during the period. As the decline in rainfall is now spreading to other parishes there could be increased incidences of drought. In particular areas which were already recording drying may have worsened conditions.  

The Meteorological Service will continue to closely monitor the rainfall activities across southern and western parishes over the next three months. This is to ensure that critical and sensitive sectors such as agriculture which depends heavily on rainfall can adjust plans as necessary, in order to handle possible shortfall in water availability.

To view our Google Earth 3D drought maps use the following link listed below to download our image files:  

Google Earth need to be install on your PC

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
 Near Normally Drying

(40%tile)

 0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile) 

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile)

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness

(60%tile)

 0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness

(70%tile)

0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile) 

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile)

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile) 

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more

Near normal drying and Abnormally Dry …are used for areas showing dryness but not yet in drought

Near normal wetness and Abnormally wetness …are used for areas recovering from drought.