August Drought Forecast Map

AUGUST 2017 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

Brief Summary: The forecast for the next three month is for warmer than normal temperatures with above normal rainfall likely over sections of eastern and central parishes. The latest forecast from the computer models are indicating a probability of near normal to above normal rainfall activity across most stations. Rainfall activities are not likely to have significant declines in amounts, even as scientists continue to monitor the sea surface temperatures over the eastern Pacific for El Ni  ño development in the coming months.

Over the past three months (March, April and May) the island recorded significant increases in rainfall amounts, which offset the deficit in rainfall that was observed over most central and western parishes during period of December through to February.

To view our Google Earth 3D drought maps use the following link listed below to download our image files:

Google Earth need to be install on your PC 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Drying

(40%tile)

 0.0 to -0.4
Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7
Moderate Drought

(20%tile)

-0.8 to -1.2
Severe Drought

(10%tile) 

-1.3 to -1.5
Extreme Drought

(5%tile) 

-1.6 to -1.9
Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less
Categories SPI Values 
Near Normally Wetness

(60%tile)

 0.0 to 0.4
Abnormally Wetness

(70%tile)

0.5 to 0.7
Moderate Wetness

(80%tile) 

0.8 to 1.2
Severe Wetness

(90%tile) 

1.3 to 1.5
Extreme Wetness

(95%tile)

1.6 to 1.9
Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more

 

Near normal drying and Abnormally Dry …are used for areas showing dryness but not yet in drought

Near normal wetness and Abnormally wetness …are used for areas recovering from drought.