Jamaica Climate
Enhancing farming through weather and climate information!

  

Jamaica Fruits

Climate Branch / Meteorological Service

 

AUGUST 2016 SPI DROUGHT FORECAST FOR JAMAICA

 

Brief Summary: Through the period of June to August the computer models are indicating near to above normal in rainfall amount across most areas. As we transition through the first three months of the hurricane season, rainfall activities seems likely to be near normal to above normal due to several environmental and local factors.  

The forecast for June and July remains near normal, however as we approach the month of August the models indicates an increase in rainfall amounts. Although we are predicting a slight decline in rainfall especially for July the impact on agricultural areas, especially over southern parishes are not expected to be significant. However, we will continue to monitor the model outputs in order to advise our farming communities should the situation change and warrant action on their part. Temperature predictions remain above normal; and so far above normal temperatures have been realised in some sections of the island. This could be a very problematic for farming interests as it places additional stress on crops.

 
To view our Google Earth 3D drought maps use the following link listed below to download our image files:  
 
*Google Earth need to be install on your PC* 
 
   
 August 2016 drought map for Jamaica
 

SPI Data Used In Jamaica Drought Monitor

 

Categories

SPI Values 

 Near Normally Drying (40%tile)

 0.0 to -0.4 

Abnormally Dry

(30%tile)

-0.5 to -0.7 

Moderate Drought

(20%tile) 

-0.8 to -1.2 

Severe Drought

(10%tile) 

-1.3 to -1.5 

Extreme Drought

(5%tile) 

-1.6 to -1.9 

Exceptional Drought

(2%tile)

-2.0 or less 

Categories

SPI Values 

Near Normally Wetness (60%tile)

 0.0 to 0.4 

Abnormally Wetness (70%tile)

0.5 to 0.7 

Moderate Wetness

(80%tile) 

0.8 to 1.2 

Severe Wetness

(90%tile) 

1.3 to 1.5 

Extreme Wetness

(95%tile) 

1.6 to 1.9 

Exceptional Wetness

(98%tile)

2.0 or more 

Near normal drying and Abnormally Dry …are used for areas showing dryness but not yet in drought

Near normal wetness and Abnormally wetness …are used for areas recovering from drought.